Fursadaha Ku Duugan Weerarka Waxsoosaarka Shidaalka Sucuudiga.

Masiibadda wadan ku dhacdaa waxay faa’iido u keentaa wadan kale, waa sunaha taariikhda aduunyadda.

Halkaa FURSADO DAHABIYA ayaa ugu jira Somaliland & Somalia waa hadduu Eebe garansiiyo. Weerarkani wuxuu adduunyadda daboolka uga qaaday in aan la isku sii halayn karin Shidaalka Sucuudiga oo la Waayo karo ilbidhiqsiyo gudahood. Shaki kuma jiro Dunida Shidaal la’aan awgeed in Dagaalkii 3aad dhacayo oo Dhaqaale.

Nolosha iyo Shidaalka ayaa ah labo isku xidhan oo sinaba u kala maarmi karin. Sidaasi awgeed, waa In Somaliland qaadaa talaabooyinka ay ugu horaysa In ay la xiriirto Shirkadaha Shell iyo Chevron oo hore sanadihii 1980s maalgalin badan ugu sameeyay soo saarida Shidaalka ka buuxa Somaliland, iyagoo Markaa Shidaalkii heerkii soo saarida uu marayo ay Dagaaladii xorayntu hakad galiyeen.

Hoos ka akhriso jawaabaha Degdega ah ee weerarkaasi ay ka bixiyeen wadamada dhaqaalaha dunida halbawlaha u ah, aad u sii akhri bal dalkastaa mudo intee le’eg ayuu Ku Filaan Karo Kaydka Shidaal ee uu haystaa.

Japan 230 maalmood ayaa kaydkeda shidaaal sii hayn karaa!, Maraykanka iyo Kooriyada Koonfureed waxay amreen In kaydka Shidaalka loo istcmaalo kaliya baahida gudaha wadamadooda. India iyo Shiinaha oo ah dalalka dunida ugu Shidaal iibsi badan waxa ku dhacaya burburkii dhaqaale ee ugu culus haddii xaalada Shidaalka sucuudigu Hoos u dhacan sii socdo.

Early morning on September 14 local time, explosive-toting drones—and possibly cruise missiles—struck Saudi Aramco oil processing facilities in eastern Saudi Arabia. The attack disrupted Saudi Arabia’s total oil output, decreasing it by 5.7m barrels-per-day (bpd) immediately. At Monday’s market open, Brent Crude futures prices spiked 19 percent; the attacks had immediately constrained global oil supply by more than 5 percent.

As of this writing, the United States and Saudi Arabia have not yet definitely attributed the attack, which was claimed by the Yemen-based Houthis. U.S. officials have pointed at Iran, suggesting that the attacks may have come from Iranian territory, overflying Iraq and Kuwait in the process. The details remain indeterminate, but what is clear is that the incident has marked one of the most serious geopolitical acute shocks to global oil prices since the First Gulf War.

Asia’s major oil importers have reacted to the attacks. A sampling of a few of the major regional reactions:

👉🏿 Japan: Japanese Trade Minister Isshu Sugawara said on Monday that Tokyo was monitoring its oil supply and remained prepared to release its reserves if the situation deteriorated. Japan has oil reserves for 230 days of internal consumption.

👉🏿 China: China is the world’s largest importer of crude oil and is treating the recent attacks with the seriousness they deserve. In the months leading up to the attack, Chinese reliance on Saudi Arabia as a supplier had grown as Beijing whittled down its imports from Iran amid growing sanctions and from the United States amid intensifying competition. Beijing has also said that it is unwilling to attribute any blame for the attack without additional “facts”—an attempt to push back on what appears to be an eager effort by the Trump administration to point fingers at Iran.

👉🏿 India: India’s total fuel import bills are likely to rise, according to Singapore’s DBS Banking Group. For the Narendra Modi government, a prolonged price hike in crude may adversely affect the broader economy and intensify the economic headwinds that New Delhi already faces. One of the filips to Modi’s first term economic performance was the decline in global oil prices at the time.

👉🏿 South Korea: Similarly to Japan, South Korea has also said that it will consider the release of domestic strategic oil reserves if the situation continues to worsen. “The government will do its best to stabilize the demand and supply situation and prices, such as considering release of oil reserves if the situation worsens,” the South Korean energy ministry said.

Bottom Line:
Energy risk for major Asian oil importers has shot up with the weekend’s attack on Saudi Aramco’s oil processing facilities and the commensurate 5 percent-plus drop in global oil supply.

Source: https://diplomat.substack.com/